Guide to SB 1047
We now likely know the final form of California’s SB 1047.
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On Claude 3.5 Sonnet
There is a new clear best (non-tiny) LLM. If you want to converse with an LLM, the correct answer is Claude Sonnet 3.5. It is available for free on Claude.ai and the Claude iOS app, or you can subscribe for higher rate limits. The API cost is $3 per million input tokens and $15 per million output tokens.
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The Third Gemini
We have now had a little over a week with Gemini Advanced, based on Gemini Ultra. A few reviews are in. Not that many, though, compared to what I would have expected, or what I feel the situation calls for. This is yet another case of there being an obvious thing lots of people should do, and almost no one doing it. Should we use Gemini Advanced versus ChatGPT? Which tasks are better for one versus the other?
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On Dwarkesh's 3rd Podcast with Tyler Cowen
This post is extensive thoughts on Tyler Cowen’s excellent talk with Dwarkesh Patel. It is interesting throughout. You can read this while listening, after listening or instead of listening, and is written to be compatible with all three options. The notes are in order in terms of what they are reacting to, and are mostly written as I listened.
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AI #27: Portents of Gemini
By all reports, and as one would expect, Google’s Gemini looks to be substantially superior to GPT-4. We now have more details on that, and also word that Google plans to deploy it in December, Manifold gives it 82% to happen this year and similar probability of being superior to GPT-4 on release.
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Response to Tyler Cowen's Existential risk, AI, and the inevitable turn in human history
Predictions are hard, especially about the future. On this we can all agree. Tyler Cowen offers a post worth reading in full in which he outlines his thinking about AI and what is likely to happen in the future. I see this as essentially the application of
